Friday, October 31, 2008

Majority of American Jews Support Obama

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Israelis Analysts and Palestinians heard by Newsnight believe that if elected, the Democrat candidate for president, Barack Obama, should be stronger than his Republican rival John McCain in resolving the conflict between the two peoples.

The political analyst of the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, Akiva Eldar, told Newsnight that believes Obama could bring a "significant change" in attitude of the United States regarding the peace process.

"I am sure that there will be a change because Obama sees the solution to the conflict as an integral part of the path of exit from Iraq," said Eldar.

"Obama considers essential to creating stability in the Middle East in order to withdraw American troops from that country, and in this view, a solution to the Palestinian issue is essential."

For Eldar, the current economic crisis will take Obama to engage and be "more active" to create a new stability in the Middle East.

"The war in Iraq costs U.S. $ 100 billion a year and the price of oil also depends on the political situation in this region," he said.

Besides the political and economic aspects, Eldar believes the Democratic challenger "more sensitive to human rights issues and therefore more aware that situations of occupation can not continue."

Among Palestinians, some analysts also believe that Obama should get more involved in resolving the conflict, but many are skeptical regarding the possibility of a significant change in the attitude of the United States for Israel.

"In general, the Palestinians prefer Obama," said sociologist Ibrahim Nassar, "but I do not have high expectations for change.

"Obama will be more active, but not really think it will press Israel to withdraw from Palestinian territories," he said.

"According to our experience in the past, both the Republicans and the Democrats always considered Israel its main ally in the Middle East and supported Israel. I do not expect drastic changes. "

Pro-Israel

Polls in Israel show, however, that most of the population prefers the Republican candidate.

According to the writer Shlomo Nakdimon, the preference of Israelis by John McCain "is obvious."

"McCain represents a continuation of the government of George W. Bush, who was the U.S. government more pro-Israel in decades, "said Nakdimon to Newsnight.

"There is no doubt that since the president (Harry) Truman, there was a U.S. president who has a very large and unconditional support to Israel as George W. Bush and it is clear that the Israelis give preference to applicants who consider that they would continue to this policy, "concluded the writer.

According a survey published this week, 46.4% of Israelis would vote on McCain and only 34% in Obama.

The possibility that Obama put pressure on Israel and its intention to hold talks with Iran explain the preference of Israelis by Republican candidate.

The survey was commissioned by the Office of United States-Israel Relations.

The director of the institute, Alon Pink, told a news site Ynet that the outcome of the research indicates a "significant difference" between the positions of Israelis and American Jews.

According to surveys, over 70% of American Jews want to vote for Obama.

Skepticism

According to the Palestinian Ghassan Hatib, director of the center of research and communications JMCC in East Jerusalem, few Palestinians believe in the possibility that Obama will change their situation.

According to a recent survey of JMCC, most Palestinians have no preference for any candidate in American elections.

The results of the survey, conducted in early October, indicate that 47.4% of Palestinians have no preference, 37.3% prefer Obama, and only 15.3% support McCain.

"I prefer Obama," said Hatib, "I think he will be more active and involved in the issue of the conflict and may even come to exert pressure on Israel, perhaps similar to the pressure exerted at the time of the government of Bush, the father of the current president. "

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