1. Voters could be turned away.
In the last election, there were reports of voters getting turned away at election sites. In the 2004 elections, electoral problems prevented many thousands of Ohioans from voting. In Columbus, bipartisan estimates say that 5,000 to 15,000 frustrated voters turned away without casting ballots.
It is recommended that you do not wear any Obama paraphernalia to your election site. If you do please bring a sweater that can cover it up - just in case election officials try to turn you away for passive electioneering.
2. Lack of time and money, especially in the failing economy.
Like in 2004, many new voters are registering. Many of these new voters are Obama supporters who live in poor neighborhoods. In 2004 election officials did not account for this rise, and when thousands of people showed up to vote there were not enough machines, leaving people to wait for up to five hours - sometimes in the rain - to vote.
Poor people, who are often minorities, will not have the time or money to afford taking a few hours off of work to go and vote. This could be a problem because these are the people who are likely to vote for Barack Obama.
3. College students won't get the opportunity to "Rock the Vote"
Across the country students on college campuses were unable to vote. For example, some Kenyon College students waited 10 hours to vote. "They had to skip classes and skip work," said Matthew Segal, a 19-year-old student.
Barack Obama has huge support within the college community. Especially now, when studies are showing that recent grads are the ones suffering from the economic inequality and high unemployment rates.
4. Many votes are never even counted.
In Georgia, one-third of the election districts did not record a single provisional - which are given to voters whose names do not appear on registration rolls - ballot in 2004. Studies show that minorities and poor voters cast a disproportionate number of provisional ballots.
5. Machines can be tampered with.
In Florida, ground zero for 2000's election meltdown, Democratic counties in southern Florida may have given at least 130,000 excess votes for Bush due to machinery malfunctions. Florida's touch screens also do not leave a paper trail, which Berkeley sociologist Michael Hout says he has, "always viewed this as a software problem, not a corruption problem." And went on to say that, "We'd never tolerate this level of errors with an ATM. The problem is that we continue to do democracy on the cheap."
But here is the nail in the coffin: In 2004 an electronic voting machine in Youngstown, Ohio (Mahoning County) recorded NEGATIVE 25 MILLION votes for Kerry.
6. The Bradley Effect.
The Bradley effect is named after former Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who ran for California governor in 1982. The exit polls had shown Bradley leading by a wide margin. But Bradley and the polls were wrong and he ended up loosing to Republican George Deukmejian.
According to the theory, leading up to election day people say that they will be voting for a black candidate - Obama - but once they enter the voting booth they vote for the white opponent - McCain.
Hopefully most Americans have moved beyond race, and will vote for the more qualified candidate.
7. And last but not least, the worst thing that could happen is John McCain and Sarah Palin actually winning on election day.
Saturday, October 25, 2008
7 Ways Election Day Could Go Wrong
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